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Risk matrix: how to build one in an hour (an SME example)

A risk matrix is the simplest tool for ranking risks by importance and seeing what to deal with first. We show how to build one in an hour, using an SME as an example.

Updated: 28 June 2026 · Author: Evgeny Telenkov · ≈ 6 min read

What a risk matrix is

A risk matrix is a table where each risk is rated on two scales: probability (how likely the event is) and impact (how much it hurts if it happens). Multiplying them gives the priority: red zone means act now, yellow means keep under control, green means accept.

How to build it in an hour

  1. List 10–15 risks (cyberattack, IT failure, loss of a supplier, loss of a key employee, etc.).
  2. Rate probability on a 1–3 scale (low/medium/high).
  3. Rate impact on a 1–3 scale (low/medium/high).
  4. Multiply them to get a priority from 1 to 9.
  5. Start with risks scored 6–9: they need mitigation measures and plans.
RiskProbabilityImpactPriority
Cyberattack / ransomware339 (red)
Loss of a key supplier236 (red)
Equipment failure224 (yellow)

What to do with the result

For the red zone, reduce the probability (protective measures) and prepare plans in case the risk materialises (BCP). The matrix is the entry point to risk management. For processes, criticality is assessed in more depth through a BIA.

Frequently asked questions

Which scale should you choose: 3 or 5 points?

For SMEs, a 1–3 scale for probability and impact is enough. A 5-point scale is needed when you must prioritise a large number of risks more finely.

How does a risk matrix differ from a BIA?

The matrix prioritises risks by probability and impact. A BIA assesses the impact of downtime on specific processes and sets recovery times. The two are used together.

From the risk register to management decisions

Check whether your risks reach the people who make decisions. The dashboard shows the status on one screen; the turnkey system makes it work in practice.

Evgeny Telenkov
Director, Business Continuity Practice · PhD in Economics · Academic Director and Chief Examiner
Best Risk Manager of Russia 2020 (RusRisk). Built business continuity at Nornickel from scratch. Author of more than 30 continuity plans. Worked in the risk functions of Beeline, Rosneft and EY. Chief Risk Officer of a USD 20 billion petrochemical megaproject. Deputy Chair of Rosstandart Technical Committee 010 “Risk Management”, co-author of six GOST R standards. Author of the ERGP and SAFE programmes.